Why Amazon is buying $60 billion of Qualcomm chips -- and a stake in the San Diego company
Published in Business News
Qualcomm on Tuesday struck a $60 billion deal with Amazon for the San Diego company’s AI data center chips, with Amazon also picking up the right to buy $4 billion of its stock.
“We used to be a smartphone company,” Qualcomm CFO and COO Akash Palkhiwala said at the Goldman Sachs investors summit in San Francisco, outlining the company’s billion-dollar plans to replace its sunsetting smartphone revenue with data center deals.
Analysts responded by pushing Qualcomm’s stock up over 3% Tuesday to $174.09 at market close. “This is the day investors get to stop mourning Apple,” said Daniel Newman, Futurum CEO. Others were more cautious, explaining how this “big deal” is just the chip company executing on what it initially promised investors.
Smartphone sales currently make up 70% of Qualcomm’s revenue, but the company projects that share will shrink to about a third by 2029 as Apple’s split from Qualcomm becomes final in seven months. Data centers are expected to fill that gap — a shift Palkhiwala acknowledged directly.
“Obviously investors are very focused on data centers,” he said.
During Tuesday’s panel, analysts recited Qualcomm’s data center revenue targets back to the executive — $5 billion by 2027, growing to $15 billion by 2029 — and asked Palkhiwala how the company plans to get there.
Historically, data centers used one type of chip for all kinds of tasks — everything from building new AI models to running a Google search were processed on the same kind of chip.
But now, in the age of AI and constrained computing power, tech companies have shifted to specialized chips that are more efficient at specific tasks.
Qualcomm’s niche is low-cost, low-power inference computing — the everyday processing tasks like translating Spanish to English or asking a question of ChatGPT.
This kind of quick low-power computing occurs in data centers and on-device. Qualcomm is creating the chips for both.
The near-term $5 billion benchmark has all but been met, Palkhiwala said, pointing to the silicon being produced and shipped now for Saudi Arabian AI company Humain, among other customers.
Earlier this year, Meta agreed to buy custom Qualcomm silicon starting in 2028; exact terms of the deal were not disclosed.
“And today is a key milestone, obviously, with our very large deal with Amazon,” Palkhiwala said.
Qualcomm struck a deal with Amazon Web Services, the companies cloud computing division, to purchase up to $60 billion worth of Qualcomm chips over the next 10 years. As part of the agreement, Qualcomm also gave Amazon the right to buy $4 billion worth of stock — 25 million shares at $161.26 apiece, which become available to Amazon as it hits agreed-upon milestones.
Of those, 3.75 million shares vested immediately when the deal was announced. Stacy Rasgon, an analyst at Bernstein, did some back-of-the-envelope math and estimated those shares imply an initial $9 billion commitment in sales from Amazon.
Equity agreements baked into deals like this are becoming increasingly common in the industry, said Newman of Futurum, pointing to similar stock-interest arrangements struck by competitors AMD and Marvell. But he said this deal signals something greater.
“Amazon does not take equity in a vendor it plans to test-drive,” Newman said. “A company that has a deep bench, in-house chipmaking and financial resources aligning to Qualcomm can only be viewed as one thing — a net positive.”
Rasgon was more restrained. “It does not appear that this deal is incremental to existing targets,” he said, noting that Qualcomm had promised hyperscaler partnerships during its investor day and is now delivering on that promise. The Amazon partnership had been widely speculated, he added: “This deal may help provide more proof points for current targets.”
On stage, Palkhiwala hinted at another hyperscaler up its sleeve — one he did not name, but described as a “very strong engagement.”
“We outlined a compelling strategy … We’re executing on everything we said we’d execute on, and hopefully today’s announcement gives people a lot of confidence.”
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